AHMEDABAD, 16 MARCH: Global financial markets will closely watch major central bank policy decisions in the coming week as rising oil and gas prices, driven by the ongoing West Asia conflict, raise concerns about inflation and economic growth. Central banks including the U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BOE) and Bank of Japan (BOJ) are scheduled to announce their interest rate decisions. The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% for a second consecutive meeting. However, investors will closely monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance on future interest rate cuts. Rising energy prices could push inflation higher, complicating the Fed’s policy outlook. Currently, markets expect only one rate cut by the end of the year, as geopolitical tensions increase economic uncertainty. In Europe, the ECB meeting will be closely watched to assess how policymakers respond to rising energy prices caused by the conflict. While the ECB is expected to maintain its current policy stance for now, financial markets are already pricing in a potential rate hike by July. Similarly, the Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%. Earlier expectations of rate cuts have faded due to higher energy prices and persistent inflation, which stood at 3.0% in January, well above the BOE’s 2% target. The Bank of Japan is also likely to keep its policy rate at 0.75%, while monitoring the impact of higher energy prices on Japan’s import-dependent economy. The weakening yen and rising oil costs remain key concerns for policymakers. Overall, the combination of geopolitical tensions, rising energy prices, and slowing global growth is creating a challenging environment for central banks as they balance inflation control with economic stability. – By Mr. Jigar Trivedi, Senior Research Analyst at Indusind Securities